Research

Bulls Are on Trial | Weekly Market Commentary | May 12, 2025

Bulls Are on Trial | Weekly Market Commentary | May 12, 2025

Earnings continued to come in better-than feared, but “tariff uncertainty” continued to get flagged on most conference calls. The Federal Reserve (Fed) kept rates unchanged and stuck to its patient approach with monetary policy, despite notable downgrades to economic growth estimates and rising recession probabilities since their last meeting.

Finding Value Among the Muni Market Malaise | Weekly Market Commentary | May 5, 2025

Finding Value Among the Muni Market Malaise | Weekly Market Commentary | May 5, 2025

The municipal bond market faced significant volatility in April, driven by spillovers from a turbulent Treasury market. Treasury yields were pressured higher by rising inflation expectations; the Federal Reserve’s cautious policy stance, reduced foreign demand; hedge fund deleveraging, portfolio shifts toward cash, and structural illiquidity.

Bulls Are on Trial | Weekly Market Commentary | May 12, 2025

Bulls Are on Trial | Weekly Market Commentary | May 12, 2025

Earnings continued to come in better-than feared, but “tariff uncertainty” continued to get flagged on most conference calls. The Federal Reserve (Fed) kept rates unchanged and stuck to its patient approach with monetary policy, despite notable downgrades to economic growth estimates and rising recession probabilities since their last meeting.

Finding Value Among the Muni Market Malaise | Weekly Market Commentary | May 5, 2025

Finding Value Among the Muni Market Malaise | Weekly Market Commentary | May 5, 2025

The municipal bond market faced significant volatility in April, driven by spillovers from a turbulent Treasury market. Treasury yields were pressured higher by rising inflation expectations; the Federal Reserve’s cautious policy stance, reduced foreign demand; hedge fund deleveraging, portfolio shifts toward cash, and structural illiquidity.

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