Second quarter numbers were quite good and generally in line with LPL Research’s expectations. In our earnings preview on July 1, we called for double-digit earnings growth and we got it — S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) grew nearly 12% in the quarter, or over 13% excluding a $9.1 billion write-down of media assets by Warner Brothers Discovery (WBD). Profit margins expanded quarter over quarter by a not insignificant 0.4%, indicating companies did a good job controlling costs.
Weekly Market Commentary
Russia To Host BRICS Summit 2024 Amid Heightened Geopolitical Conflict | Weekly Market Commentary | September 3, 2024
In December 2023, Vladimir Putin declared that the 2024 BRICS Summit, hosted by Russia, would be focused on establishing a “fair world order” based on shared principles.
It’s Go Time for the Federal Reserve | Weekly Market Commentary | August 26, 2024
A soft landing looks achievable, barring any shocks. Disinflation while preserving labor market strength is only possible with anchored inflation expectations, so an independent and credible central bank is key. One of the best concepts in the speech for investors to understand is the current data shows an evolving macro landscape. The jury is still out on if the Fed can successfully manage the risks to both sides of their dual mandate.
Stock and Bond Market FAQs From the Field | Weekly Market Commentary | August 19, 2024
Every year as the summer months draw near their end, LPL Financial hosts its annual conference for financial advisors. While the conference is an excellent opportunity for advisors to expand upon professional interests, discover ways to enhance their impact on clients, and connect with industry experts — learning is a two-way street.
Pullbacks Are Common but Painful | Weekly Market Commentary | August 12, 2024
Like a stubbed toe, pullbacks in the market are inevitable, something investors tend to forget during periods of low volatility.
Thoughts on Global Selloff and the Dollar’s Path to Decompressing | Weekly Market Commentary | August 5, 2024
After the sharp August 5 decline, equities are nearing an attractive entry point. LPL’s Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) maintains its tactical neutral stance on equities, while actively monitoring signs of bottoming. LPL Research continues to preach patience before buying this dip. Bottoming is a process.
Key Themes for the Macroeconomic Landscape in the Second Half of 2024 | Weekly Market Commentary | July 29, 2024
Investors had a healthy appetite for risk so far this year as a so-called potential soft landing has been factored in. We have an economy with rising wages, decelerating inflation, and a Federal Reserve (Fed) on the cusp of cutting rates.
Key Themes for Bonds in the Second Half of 2024 | Weekly Market Commentary | July 22, 2024
The first half of the year was a challenging environment for a lot of fixed income markets, especially higher-quality markets.
Key Themes for Stocks in the Second Half of 2024 | Weekly Market Commentary | July 15, 2024
With the release of the LPL Research Midyear Outlook 2024: Still Waiting for the Turn, in this week’s commentary we pull out key themes from the publication and add some context for our views given stocks have continued to rally — with Thursday a glaring exception as stocks sold off, somewhat surprisingly, after a good consumer inflation report.
Double-Digit Earnings Growth on Tap | Weekly Market Commentary | July 1, 2024
LPL Research believes stocks have gotten a bit over their skis, but earnings season may not be the catalyst for a pullback in the near term given all signs point to another solid earnings season and stocks have mostly performed well during the peak weeks of reporting season in recent years.
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